Probability of delivery resulting from spontaneous labor after 35 weeks

The most important question I was trying to answer with the survey was this: "When is a baby most likely to spontaneously show up?" The graph above shows the percentages, based on 15762 responses. 11984 of the deliveries were as a result of labor occuring spontaneously. The chart only shows these deliveries, which is why the percentages do not add up to 100%, because only 76% of participants had spontaneous (non-induced) labor.

The statistics right now are as follows:

  • Mean: 278 (39W,5D)
  • Median: 280 (40W,0D)
  • Standard Deviation: 9.58 days
  • Most popular days to give birth:
    • 280 (40W,0D) (689 births, 4%)
    • 281 (40W,1D) (617 births, 4%)
    • 282 (40W,2D) (546 births, 3%)
    • 279 (39W,6D) (544 births, 3%)
    • 283 (40W,3D) (512 births, 3%)

Data Table

The percentages are based on ALL births (including inductions)
DayWeekBirths Running TotalPercentRunning Total %
24535W,0D23230.1 % 0.1 %
24635W,1D23460.1 % 0.3 %
24735W,2D22680.1 % 0.4 %
24835W,3D25930.2 % 0.6 %
24935W,4D241170.2 % 0.7 %
25035W,5D271440.2 % 0.9 %
25135W,6D251690.2 % 1.1 %
25236W,0D462150.3 % 1.4 %
25336W,1D312460.2 % 1.6 %
25436W,2D472930.3 % 1.9 %
25536W,3D493420.3 % 2.2 %
25636W,4D403820.3 % 2.4 %
25736W,5D514330.3 % 2.7 %
25836W,6D614940.4 % 3.1 %
25937W,0D905840.6 % 3.7 %
26037W,1D906740.6 % 4.3 %
26137W,2D857590.5 % 4.8 %
26237W,3D998580.6 % 5.4 %
26337W,4D1269840.8 % 6.2 %
26437W,5D12011040.8 % 7 %
26537W,6D16012641 % 8 %
26638W,0D20014641.3 % 9.3 %
26738W,1D17216361.1 % 10.4 %
26838W,2D17818141.1 % 11.5 %
26938W,3D22820421.4 % 13 %
27038W,4D29123331.8 % 14.8 %
27138W,5D26425971.7 % 16.5 %
27238W,6D31129082 % 18.4 %
27339W,0D37332812.4 % 20.8 %
27439W,1D34836292.2 % 23 %
27539W,2D35239812.2 % 25.3 %
27639W,3D46444452.9 % 28.2 %
27739W,4D47649213 % 31.2 %
27839W,5D48054013 % 34.3 %
27939W,6D54459453.5 % 37.7 %
28040W,0D68966344.4 % 42.1 %
28140W,1D61772513.9 % 46 %
28240W,2D54677973.5 % 49.5 %
28340W,3D51283093.2 % 52.7 %
28440W,4D46387722.9 % 55.7 %
28540W,5D49392653.1 % 58.8 %
28640W,6D48897533.1 % 61.9 %
28741W,0D495102483.1 % 65 %
28841W,1D377106252.4 % 67.4 %
28941W,2D306109311.9 % 69.4 %
29041W,3D296112271.9 % 71.2 %
29141W,4D211114381.3 % 72.6 %
29241W,5D156115941 % 73.6 %
29341W,6D136117300.9 % 74.4 %
29442W,0D98118280.6 % 75 %
29542W,1D45118730.3 % 75.3 %
29642W,2D32119050.2 % 75.5 %
29742W,3D28119330.2 % 75.7 %
29842W,4D13119460.1 % 75.8 %
29942W,5D15119610.1 % 75.9 %
30042W,6D10119710.1 % 75.9 %
30143W,0D13119840.1 % 76 %

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